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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
Comment
Hugh White

The Australia-US alliance is facing a decisive test, and not just over the Middle East

Australian navy sailors watch Chinese warships in the Tasman Sea
‘With or without Australia’s support, the US has no serious chance of winning a war with China over Taiwan.’ Photograph: ADF

Would Australia go to war to support the United States in conflict with China over Taiwan – or elsewhere? The government avoids discussing the question, let alone answering it, by dismissing it as hypothetical. But it will not go away, for two reasons.

First, the possibility of us going to war over Taiwan looms over the whole debate about our military preparedness and defence spending, and gives it urgency. That is because choosing to fight China alongside the US is a scenario in which Australia would find itself drawn into a major conflict. Surely we should be talking about that choice now, in advance, rather than wait till a crisis breaks?

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