Nottingham Forest are performing below their predicted points according to xG, despite being thumped 4-0 by Leicester City on Monday night.
According to expected goals data, the Reds, who have lost five games on the bounce, are actually 3.48 points worse off than expected. With six goals scored and 21 conceded, Steve Cooper's side are well below where they would like to be.
But the "expected points" Premier League table would actually suggest they are picking up worse results than their performances deserve. Bottom of the genuine table, Forest are actually expected to be on a far more respectable 7.48 points, which would put them above the bottom three.
