
- Currently $7.2 million in bets have been placed on Polymarket, but the probability of Tesla’s robotaxi service meeting the criteria necessary to be judged a success is approaching zero with hours left on the clock. While this doesn’t diminish the company’s accomplishments this past week, it is not a case of splitting hairs—Tesla’s ability to rapidly scale service has yet to be proven.
Tesla’s autonomous ride hailing service went live just over a week ago with nearly a dozen robotaxis shuttling passengers in downtown Austin. Tesla influencers from across the country descended upon the Texan capital to participate in the historic event—assuming they were lucky enough to nab a coveted invite.