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The Conversation
The Conversation
Politics
Meredith Oyen, Associate Professor of History and Asian Studies, University of Maryland, Baltimore County

Taiwanese election may determine whether Beijing opts to force the issue of reunification

Posters of presidential candidate William Lai and his running mate, Hsiao Bi-khim. Yasuyoshi Chiba/AFP via Getty Images)

When the votes are being tallied in Taiwan’s presidential election, it won’t be only the 23.6 million inhabitants of the island eagerly awaiting a result – in Beijing and Washington, too, there will be some anxious faces.

The vote of Jan. 13, 2024, is seen as a litmus test for the future of cross-strait relations, coming at a time when the status quo over Taiwan – a territory Beijing claims as an integral part of “one China” – is being challenged. If Taiwan’s incumbent, independence-oriented party stays in power, Chinese leader Xi Jinping might feel he has no choice but to force the issue of reunification.

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