In a recent ruling by a three-judge panel, the likelihood of the full D.C. appeals court overruling the decision on immunity is deemed extremely unlikely, according to legal experts. The panel's decision, which denied former President Donald Trump's claim of absolute immunity from prosecution, is seen as well-constructed and likely to be upheld.
Legal analysts suggest that the time taken for this decision to be reached was likely utilized to ensure unanimity among both the three-judge panel and the full D.C. circuit. This indicates that the court took measures to ensure the ruling was robust and free from any dissenting views.
Regarding the possibility of the Supreme Court taking up the case, experts find it challenging to predict the outcome. It is speculated that the court might deny certification on the immunity question and disqualification, presenting itself as impartial and objective. If this were to happen, Trump would still be allowed to appear on state ballots for upcoming elections, but the ongoing prosecutions against him would proceed.
When considering the potential for the Supreme Court to rule in Trump's favor, particularly with its conservative majority, legal analysts believe it is unlikely. Trump's claim of absolute immunity is viewed as weak and unfounded. The concept that any action taken by a president falls under the umbrella of their official duties and is thereby immune from judicial review lacks historical precedent or legal backing.
Moreover, the Justice Department's argument contests that Trump's actions leading up to the events of January 6th were outside the scope of his presidential duties. Thus, the argument of absolute immunity holds little persuasive weight in the eyes of legal experts.
However, there is a possibility that some conservative justices may consider the allegations made in a recent filing. It is asserted that the special counsel's requests for speedy Supreme Court decisions in this case appear partisan and politically motivated. As the filing coincides with the campaign calendar, it is conceivable that a minority of justices may find merit in these arguments.
In conclusion, legal experts believe it is highly unlikely that the full D.C. appeals court will overrule the three-judge panel's decision on immunity. Furthermore, if the case reaches the Supreme Court, it is anticipated that the immunity claim will be dismissed, while disqualification will also be denied. While the conservative majority of the Supreme Court may present challenges, the weak foundation of Trump's absolute immunity argument suggests the court is inclined to rule against him.
