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Barchart
Rich Asplund

Stocks Rally on Increased Odds for Fed Rate Cut after CPI Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.72%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +1.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.64%.  September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) are up +0.63%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) are up +0.58%. 

Stocks gained ground after today’s US CPI report was largely in line with market expectations, thus strengthening expectations for a Fed rate cut at the September meeting. On a year-on-year basis, the July headline CPI of +2.7% y/y was slightly weaker than expected, but the core CPI of +3.1% y/y was slightly stronger than expected.  The chances for a Fed rate cut at its Sep 16-17 meeting improved to 95% after today's CPI report from 88% on Monday.

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