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Politics
Collette Schulz-Herzenberg, Senior Lecturer in Political Science, Stellenbosch University

South Africa's ruling party is performing dismally, but a flawed opposition keeps it in power

The African National Congress has lost electoral support but remains dominant. Phill Magakoe / AFP via Getty Images.

As power cuts continue, the economy falters, unemployment rises and the currency tumbles, South Africa’s political commentators tend to agree that support for the governing African National Congress (ANC) will fall under 50% in the 2024 national and provincial elections. If the party avoids a defeat, it could lead to a coalition government.

It’s only logical to expect that governance failures of this magnitude would send large numbers of dissatisfied voters into the arms of opposition parties.

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