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Sibaliwe Maku Vyambwera, Lecturer in Mathematics, University of the Western Cape

South Africa's prisons are a breeding ground for the spread of TB. Our model shows how

People in prison are more at risk of TB than the general population. Stephane de Sakutin/AFP via Getty Images

South African prisons are famously overcrowded. Prison populations are believed to exceed capacity by an overall 33%, although that number jumps to over 200% at some facilities, according to recent reports.

The confined, often overcrowded conditions of prisons make them a breeding ground for disease. In particular, they are a high-risk environment for the spread of infectious diseases such as tuberculosis (TB) – a leading cause of death in South Africa. TB spreads in the air when a person with the disease coughs, speaks, or sings.

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