The SNP would overtake the Tories and become Westminster's second party in a UK snap election, a new poll suggests. The survey of 28,000 people by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus found that the Tories would be left with fewer seats in a general election today.
SNP Westminster leader Stephen Flynn would become the Leader of the Opposition. The figures showed that Labour would win 49 per cent of the UK-wide vote and the Tories would only take 23 per cent.
Labour would then win 509 out of the 650 seats. This would be a gain of 306 seats. The SNP would be the next biggest party with 50 MPs, up from the 48 they won in 2019.
The Conservatives would only win 45 seats, making them the third-biggest party. This is 365 less than they won in 2019. The Lib Dems would more than double their MPs, going from 11 to 23. Plaid Cymru and the Greens would stay the same, with four MPs for Plaid and one for the Greens.
Reform UK, who were formed as the Brexit Party by Nigel Farage in 2018, would win six per cent of the vote but no seats.
The polling was carried out between January 27 and February 5. It estimated 15 cabinet ministers would lose their seats. These would include Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, Foreign Secretary James Cleverly and Home Secretary Suella Braverman.
Boris Johnson and ex-Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng would also lose their seats. Chief executive of Find Out Now Chris Holbrook said the forecasts made “shocking reading for Conservatives."
Electoral Calculus chief executive Martin Baxter added: “The Conservatives have been far behind in the polls for the last four months, with little sign of improvement.
“They have lost support across the country, particularly in traditionally strong Conservative areas, which bodes very badly for the next general election. That election could be a near-wipeout and worse than 1997, with the Conservatives not even being the main opposition party.”
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