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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Slump for Labor in YouGov survey, but not in other federal polls

While a federal YouGov poll has Labor’s primary vote down three points to a tie with One Nation, that hasn’t been the case in any other federal poll this week, with Newspoll, Resolve and Morgan all much better for Labor. A Farrer byelection poll has given One Nation’s David Farley a 52.7–47.3 lead over independent Michelle Milthorpe.

A Victorian state Resolve poll gives the Coalition a two-point primary vote lead over Labor with 21% for One Nation. The Coalition’s lead would probably be extended after preferences.

A national YouGov poll for Sky News, conducted April 14–21 from a sample of 1,500, gave Labor 27% of the primary vote (down three since the early April YouGov poll), One Nation 27% (up two), the Coalition 20% (steady), the Greens 14% (up one), independents 5% (down one) and others 7% (steady).

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