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Peter Davidson

Scots Tories to lose second place and 'voice of unionism' over partygate, say leading pollsters

A leading pollster believes the Tory's position as the "voice of unionism" could be under threat in Scotland at the upcoming council elections next month.

Professor Sir John Curtice says Anas Sarwar 's Scottish Labour could overtake the Tories to be the second largest party in terms of councillors following the election on May 5.

Labour, under Kezia Dugdale, at the last council elections in 2017 was replaced in second by Ruth Davidson's party, however the University of Strathclyde expert thinks the roles could be reversed next month.

Speaking on the PoliticsHome podcast The Rundown, Curtice said: "The one place that [Boris Johnson] has to worry about is Scotland. In Scotland, all the council's seats are up for grabs.

"The polling during the course of the last three, four or five months… has been showing the Conservatives, not only well down on their position five years ago, but actually also trailing behind Labour.

Sir John Curtice said Labour could end up in second place after the election (PA)

"There is a possibility that, for the first time since 2016, that the Labour Party might come second [in Scotland], both in votes and in seats in the local elections."

Curtice added that the Tory position “hitherto as the undisputed principle voice of unionism north of the border” could be under threat.

While, Chris Curtis, head of polling at Opinium, said Labour was on course for a "comfortable second place" in Scotland due to the "difficult" campaign in the wake of the partygate scandal.

Speaking about partygate, he told the podcast: "How do a group of people who said the Prime Minister should resign a few months ago turn around and go, actually, he shouldn't resign, and also, you should vote for us? It's gonna be incredibly difficult for them to fight."

Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross was one of the first MPs to call for Boris Johnson to resign after he admitted attending a gathering during lockdown in Downing Street.

Ahead of the Tory party conference in Aberdeen last month Ross u-turned on his call and said now was no the time for the Prime Minister to resign due to the war in Ukraine.

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