Scotland has more chance of playing in the World Cup than staging IndyRef2 in October next year

A growing number of pro-independence supporters privately believe Nicola Sturgeon’s aim of holding IndyRef2 by the end of next year is a non-starter.

If we are to take the promise seriously, an eighteen month window exists for staging another vote.

With Cabinet Secretary Angus Robertson narrowing it down to October next year, the whole business has to be completed within sixteen.