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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Graeme Wearden

Markets post worst month since 2020, as recovery slows and rate hike worries rise – business live

The shuttered Neumarkt Christmas market during the fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic on November 23, 2021 in Dresden, Germany.
The shuttered Neumarkt Christmas market during the fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic on November 23, 2021 in Dresden, Germany. Photograph: Sean Gallup/Getty Images

Wall Street close: S&P's worst month since March 2020

And finally... the US stock market has closed with strong gains, after a turbulent month in which worries about US interest rate rises, and the Ukraine crisis, hit shares.

The S&P 500 has jumped by 1.9% today, led by technology stock such as Netflix and Tesla which both gained over 10%.

But that still leaves the S&P 500 down around 5.26% in January, its worst month since March 2020.

The Nasdaq surged by 3.4% today, but was still down almost 9% this month --also its worst month since the crash of March 2020.

According to Reuters it’s the S&P 500’s worst January drop since 2009, while the Dow had its weakest start to a year since 2016, and it was the Nasdaq’s worst January since 2008.

Fears that the US central bank would hike interest rates four or more times this year, even as the economy slows, hit markets hard this month

As Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, told CNBC:

Between the amount of volumes that we saw and the massive swings that we saw in markets, the volatility really felt like it had a crescendo,”

Those crescendos usually happen when there is a massive amount of capitulation in markets and everything is for sale,” Hogan added.

“For most of the month we would see money coming out of growth but going into cyclical. Then that would unwind and growth would catch a bit. That was all true until this past week. We’ve seen a bit of the aftermath of that storm, and that seems to be more stabilization.”

On that note, goodnight... GW

Mexico in technical recession after weak end to 2021

A street in San Cristobal de las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico.
A street in San Cristobal de las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico. Photograph: Artur Widak/NurPhoto/REX/Shutterstock

Mexico has fallen into recession, as supply chain disruption, a new labour law and a lack of economic support in the pandemic all hit its economy.

Mexico’s GDP fell by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2021, statistics body INEGI reported, following a 0.4% in Q3.

Two consecutive quarters of contraction are a technical recession.

Reuters adds:

The disappointing Mexico data comes as Brazil’s weakened economy is in danger of sinking deeper into recession this year ahead of October’s presidential election, as anxiety over the vote and steep interest rate rises continue to hurt growth, according to a Reuters poll.

“With its weak Q4 outturn, Mexico has joined Brazil in technical recession, an extremely disappointing result that leaves real GDP in Mexico a whopping 4% below its mid-2019 pre-Covid peak,” said Fiona Mackie, regional director, Latin America and the Caribbean at Economist Intelligence Unit.

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