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Clemens Breisinger, Senior Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Russia-Ukraine conflict is driving up wheat prices: this could fuel instability in Sudan

Widespread protests have followed changes in the subsidised price of Baladi bread, a traditional Sudanese flatbread. Photo by MUJAHED SHARAF AL-DEEN SATI/AFP via Getty Images

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted agricultural production and trade from one of the world’s major food exporting regions. The war threatens to drive rising food prices still higher and create scarcity, especially for regions most dependent on wheat and other exports from Russia and Ukraine.

Particularly affected is the Middle East and North Africa region. These Arab countries consume the highest wheat per capita, about 128 kg of wheat per capita, which is twice the world average. More than half of this comes from Russia and Ukraine.

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