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The Economic Times
The Economic Times

Rupee slips as sentiment drags on RBI curtailing FX inflow window

The Indian rupee ​slipped on Monday after the ​central bank unexpectedly shortened the deadline for its discounted ​forex swap facility for non-resident deposits, several traders said.

Persistent importer dollar demand further weighed on the rupee, while likely intervention limited losses, extending a pattern seen last week.

The ‌rupee was ⁠at 95.60 ⁠per dollar, its weakest level in two weeks, and down 0.2% on the ​day.

The Reserve Bank of India said late on Friday it is bringing forward by ​a month the cutoff for its discounted forex swap facility, following more than $50 billion in inflows from non-resident Indian deposits.

"There are some jitters ​since the central bank in the first week ⁠of August ‌had said there is no proposal to ​curtail the scheme, ​but has since done the same," a trader ⁠at a private bank said.

Dollar-rupee forward premiums jumped on Monday ​with the 1-year implied yield up 8 basis points ​at 2.79%, snapping a three-session streak of declines which had pushed it to an over one-month low.

"We expect our earlier estimate of inflows from the forex swap that stood at $60 billion-$70 billion has some clear upside. We revise this up to $80 billion - given the stronger the ‌expected flows, but will be below what could have been in terms of the curtailed window," analysts at ​BoFA Global ​Research said in a ⁠note.

Elsewhere, Asian currencies were mostly stronger while Brent crude oil futures were a tad lower at $88.3 per barrel with investors monitoring fading expectations of ​a U.S.-Iran peace breakthrough and slower tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a key global energy artery.

Regional stocks though were shored up by trimmed wagers on rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve which also pulled down the dollar index 0.1% to 99.4.

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