While an IIT-Kanpur study has predicted a fourth wave of COVID-19 in the country from June to October, three experts in Karnataka that the State’s Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) consulted on this possibility are sceptical of the study.
The paper by researchers from IIT-Kanpur forecasts that the fourth wave of COVID-19 in India will arrive after 936 days from the reporting of the first case, which is January 30, 2020. Therefore, the fourth wave starts on June 22, 2022, reaching its peak on August 23, 2022, and ends on October 24, 2022, according to the paper.
As the same team from IIT-Kanpur had precisely predicted the third wave of Omicron variant in January–February 2022, the State’s TAC had sought an expert review on the paper by Rajesh Sundaresan from IISc, Siva Athreya from Indian Statistical Institute, and TAC member Giridhar R. Babu from the Public Health Foundation of India.
