The political establishment woke to a startling revelation on Tuesday: Nigel Farage's Reform UK now commands enough support to secure a substantial parliamentary majority if an election were held tomorrow. A new More in Common poll of 16,000 people paints a picture of a nation in political upheaval, with traditional Labour strongholds crumbling and Westminster's balance of power tilting decisively to the right.
The numbers are stark. Reform UK would win 381 seats with just 31% of the vote, turning a minority of ballots into a commanding 115-seat majority. Meanwhile, Labour, which swept to office with confidence just 18 months ago, would be reduced to 85 MPs. That represents a loss of 326 seats, a collapse approaching the party's lowest parliamentary presence in the modern era.
