In a dramatic political turn, Reform UK appears set to gain a sixth MP as an “inevitable” by-election in Runcorn & Helsby looms following the conviction of disgraced Labour MP Mike Amesbury. The by-election, now seen as unavoidable, could hand Nigel Farage’s party a key win in a constituency that has long been a Labour stronghold.
Top pollster Luke Tryl, director of More in Common, warned of the changing electoral dynamics in the area. Speaking to GB News, he explained, “The dynamics of the now inevitable by-election – low turnout, national Government unpopular, disgraced former MP and Reform already second – mean, despite the big Labour majority, Reform would be disappointed not to win given their current polling/momentum.”
