Reform’s polling surge threatens Tory seats, but has it hit its peak?

Reform UK has added an average 5% to their polling numbers since Nigel Farage’s return, but recent controversies may eat into their final count of the vote. Photograph: Martin Pope/ZUMA Press Wire/REX/Shutterstock

The Labour lead in the opinion polls has been 20 percentage points throughout the campaign. But the polls haven’t been entirely static.

Over the past five weeks there has been one key change in polling that has the potential to turn a historic defeat for the Conservatives into an obliteration when the election is called.