The Reserve Bank of India will likely tighten monetary policy in coming months, bringing it in line with regional peers that have turned more hawkish in response to inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict, economists said.
The expectations follow Governor Sanjay Malhotra‘s signal Friday that policymakers could raise interest rates if inflation pressures become more generalized and persistent. The central bank also lifted its inflation forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027 to 5.1% from 4.6%, after leaving benchmark rate unchanged at 5.25%.