Ravens vs. Chargers on Monday night caps off Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season as each has their sights set on an AFC Championship run.
Monday Night Football offers a rare and compelling narrative as brothers John and Jim Harbaugh face off for the first time since Super Bowl XLVII. This time, the stakes are just as high, as the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) host the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) under the lights. Jim’s Chargers are surging, riding a four-game win streak capped by a 34-27 victory over the Bengals last week. Meanwhile, John’s Ravens saw their two-game streak snapped in a narrow 18-16 loss to the Steelers in Week 11.
The Chargers boast momentum but face questions, including the health of standout receiver Ladd McConkey, who remains questionable with a shoulder injury. Despite coming off a loss, Baltimore has played the league’s 13th-toughest schedule, while Los Angeles has faced the easiest slate.
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Check out our Ravens vs. Chargers picks, predictions, and best bets!
Ravens vs. Chargers Betting Preview
All Ravens vs. Chargers odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct on Monday, Nov. 25.
- Spread: Ravens -2.5
- Moneyline: Ravens –145 | Chargers +125
- Over/Under: 50.5
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium | Inglewood, CA
- Predicted Weather at Kick: 62 degrees, Partly Cloudy, 6 MPH Wind
- How to Watch: ESPN
Ravens vs. Chargers Picks, Predictions, and Best Player Prop Bets
The Los Angeles Chargers defense ranks fourth in the league in defensive EPA, but that statistic might be misleading. Their schedule has featured struggling quarterbacks and lackluster offenses, and they surrendered 452 yards to Joe Burrow and the Bengals just last week. Now, they face MVP candidate Lamar Jackson and a Baltimore Ravens offense that leads the league in EPA/play and success rate while sitting second in scoring at 30.4 points per game.
Baltimore’s defense, however, has its own vulnerabilities—particularly against the pass. The Ravens rank 28th in defensive dropback EPA and allow 7.2 yards per pass attempt, the 26th-worst mark in the NFL. That could spell trouble against a Los Angeles offense firing on all cylinders. The Chargers have scored 26+ points in four straight games, with Justin Herbert thriving since their Week 5 bye, ranking seventh in adjusted EPA among quarterbacks.
Injuries could play a decisive role in this matchup. Baltimore’s already tested run defense could falter further with All-Pro linebacker Roquan Smith and nose tackle Travis Jones both questionable. On the other hand, the Chargers are also banged up, with key defensive players like Khalil Mack Jr., Bud Dupree, Denzel Perryman, Cam Hart, and Derwin James all listed as questionable.
We could see a shootout on Monday night.
JK Dobbins – RB, Chargers – Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Los Angeles Chargers running back J.K. Dobbins has carried the load for his team this season, taking 152 rush attempts over 10 games—an average of 15.2 carries per contest. Meanwhile, Gus Edwards, battling injuries, has managed just 54 carries across six games. Despite Edwards’ presence when healthy, Dobbins’ production has remained steady, with rushing totals of 135, 131, 44, 32, 50, and 56 yards in games Edwards has played.
Dobbins has been a workhorse, accounting for 54.6% of the Chargers’ rushing workload—a mark that places him in the 87th percentile among NFL running backs. His consistency is evident, having eclipsed 40 rushing yards in all but one game this season, a rare off day against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4.
The Baltimore Ravens, known for their stout run defense, present a tough challenge. Yet, even their formidable front has shown cracks, allowing eight running backs to surpass the 40-yard mark this season—including one in each of the last five weeks.
Dobbins, averaging 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (89th percentile), remains a reliable force on the ground. Against a Ravens defense that has softened in recent weeks, expect him to be a key figure in the Chargers’ offensive game plan Monday night.
18. JK Dobbins vs BAL
Hard to argue with results.
Top 14 Fantasy RB in 4 of 6 most recent games…
Despite Gus Edwards returning & Hassan Haskins stealing touches.
13 Opportunities in every game played this season.
Fire up Primetime MNF JK.
— Joe Orrico (@NoExpertFF) November 21, 2024
Lamar Jackson – QB, Chargers – Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Lamar Jackson hasn’t relied on his legs as much in recent weeks, but there’s little reason to believe that trend will hold. Jackson has exceeded this rushing total in 8 of 11 games this season, thanks to Baltimore’s commitment to keeping him involved on the ground. Accounting for 28.3% of his team’s carries, Jackson ranks in the 100th percentile among quarterbacks in rushing workload.
With an impressive 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game—another 100th-percentile figure—Jackson remains one of the league’s most dynamic threats on the ground. His 2.37 yards after contact (84th percentile) highlights his ability to extend plays and make defenses pay.
Facing a Chargers defense that has struggled against dual-threat quarterbacks, Jackson is poised to find opportunities to exploit mismatches. The game’s narrow spread (2.5 points) and high total suggest a back-and-forth battle, likely fueled by Justin Herbert’s strong recent play.
In a game that’s expected to be both high-scoring and closely contested, the Ravens will rely on Jackson’s versatility.When the stakes are high, so is Lamar Jackson’s impact.
LAMAR JACKSON WITH ONE OF THE NASTIEST HEAD MOVES YOU WILL EVER SEE.@Lj_era8 had the defender going the complete other way 😮💨😮💨😮💨
(Powered by @JimmysSeafood)
pic.twitter.com/49j9RIB7ug— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) October 6, 2024
Best Bets
- Over 50.5
- JK Dobbins OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Lamar Jackson OVER 43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
