Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew was among the winners again on Friday and has four stats-based selections on Saturday, November 23rd…
HAYDOCK 12.40
EDEN DU HOUX (system – David Pipe break-returning chasers, October to January)
David Pipe does well with early-season (October to January) break returners over fences, with those who had been rested for at least 150 days landing 78 of their 358 starts (21.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £139.71 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 52.32, A/E = 1.49). EDEN DU HOUX only had the one run last term, finishing fourth to Triple Trade at Ascot 336 days ago, but he’ll appreciate the drop down to Class 3 level having gone close at Sandown (half-length second at 11-1) off a 4lb higher mark when last running in this grade.
HAYDOCK 1.50
TRELAWNE (system – Kim Bailey, early-season break returners)
Kim Bailey has a fine recent record in early-season (October to December) jumps races with horses returning from a break of 150 days or longer, scoring with 33 of the 130 qualifiers since 2021 for a profit of £50.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 21.33, A/E = 1.55). TRELAWNE, who is three from three on his seasonal debuts, is taken to give favourite Iroko a race on his comeback in this graduation chase.
HUNTINGDON 2.38
MAGIC SEVEN (system – Jonjo O’Neill, handicap hurdles, Huntingdon)
In the past five years, Jonjo O’Neill has an 11 rom 35 record in handicap hurdles at Huntingdon and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £13.43 to a £1 level stake at SP. He was three from six with last-time out winners and MAGIC SEVEN, successful at Exeter earlier this month, can follow up.
ASCOT 3.20
MARTATOR (system – Venetia Williams handicap chases in November)
This century (prior to Friday’s racing), Venetia Williams is 127 from 640 (19.8%) with her handicap chasers in the month of November and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £199.59 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 95.22, A/E = 1.33). MARTATOR contributed with a 6-1 victory over course and distance on November 2nd, his fourth straight win, and the seven-year-old can complete the five-timer.
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
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