Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to secure another six-year term in the upcoming presidential election, maintaining his stronghold on power in the country. Despite ongoing conflict in Ukraine and increasing isolation from the international community, Putin's control over Russia remains firm.
Impact of the War on the Election
Putin has centered his campaign around the conflict in Ukraine, framing it as a battle against Western influence and a matter of national survival. He justifies Russian military intervention as necessary to protect Russian speakers in eastern Ukraine and prevent Kyiv from joining NATO.
Economic Factors
The Russian economy's resilience in the face of Western sanctions has bolstered Putin's popularity. With a predicted growth rate of 2.6% this year and low unemployment, Putin has promised initiatives such as subsidized mortgages and increased funding for social programs to further solidify his support.
Crackdown on Dissent
Putin has tightened his grip on power through repressive measures, including criminalizing public criticism of the war and stifling protests. Opposition figures face harsh sentences, and independent media outlets have been shut down or forced to relocate abroad.
Future Policies and Foreign Relations
If re-elected, Putin is likely to escalate the conflict in Ukraine and further suppress dissent at home. His victory will be used to justify aggressive foreign policies and deepen alliances with countries like China and India.