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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Glenn Erby

Projecting a contract extension for Eagles QB Jalen Hurts after he performed at an MVP level

You never want to create any postseason distractions for your team, but Monday, January 9 is a day that Jalen Hurts has waited for his entire career.

Starting today, players from the 2020 NFL Draft class are eligible for contract extensions and those discussions or deals can happen at any point now.

Hurts is a Pro Bowl quarterback, and MVP candidate.

The NFL is all about loading up on young, dynamic talent, and as Philadelphia continues to reload at key positions, Hurts is the one player in the NFL to watch.

A 2020 second-round pick, Hurts won’t have to worry about a fifth-year option before he can cash out and 2023 will be the final year of his rookie contract.

Howie Roseman is all about striking first and since the Eagles’ third-year quarterback’s trajectory has risen to elite status, Philadelphia could be on the hook for even more than was initially guaranteed when they signed Carson Wentz to a new deal.

After leading the Eagles to the playoffs in back-to-back years, while also vastly improving under center, Hurts will soon be one of the top 10 highest-paid signal-callers.

Here’s an early projection of what a new deal for Hurts would look like.

Eagles approach to contract extensions for quarterbacks

Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Eagles have always been fair and early when it comes to projecting contract extensions.

Donovan McNabb’s 9-year, $70 million deal came prior to Howie Roseman joining the organization on a full-time basis.

Roseman is a disciple of Joe Banner and learned his penchant for signing big-name players to team-friendly deals before the player hits free agency.

The next big-named quarterback was Michael Vick, who received a 2-year, $6.8 million deal upon returning to the NFL in 2009.

After McNabb was traded to Washington, Vick received the franchise tag ($16M) before Philadelphia then signed him to a six-year, $100 million contract with $40 million guaranteed.

At that time, Vick’s per year base salary of $16.7 million was only less than then Patriots quarterback Tom Brady ($18.01) and Colts quarterback Peyton Manning ($18 million), but it was more than N.Y. Giants quarterback Eli Manning ($16.25 million) and Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers ($15.3 million).

A few years after Vick moved on, Philadelphia acquired quarterback Sam Bradford from the Rams in 2015 and then signed him to a deal worth $36 million ($18M per) over two years, with $26 million guaranteed.

Highest paid quarterbacks in the NFL 2022

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The NFL’s quarterback market has exploded over the last decade, as it is now the most important position in the league.

With the salary cap set to increase, the tier for salaries will increase as well.

Per Over The Cap
At $49 million a year, Russell Wilson is at No. 2 on the list, behind Aaron Rodgers.

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes had the highest average salary entering the 2022 offseason at $45 million per year, but he was leapfrogged by Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson.

Rodgers signed a new extension worth under $50.3 million per year.

Following his trade to the Cleveland Browns, DeShaun Watson saw his rise to $46 million guaranteed per season.

Watson, Mahomes, Josh Allen, Derek Carr, Matthew Stafford, and Dak Prescott all now make at least $40 million per year while Rodgers is the only player making $50 million per season.

How Russell Wilson's new 5-year, $245M contract impacts Eagles' QB Jalen Hurts

Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

During the summer, the Broncos gave quarterback Russell Wilson a five-year, $245 million extension that includes $165 million in guaranteed money.

The blockbuster deal was the third-most lucrative contract in NFL history, behind only Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson’s $230 million and Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray’s $189.5 million.

The extension paid Wilson an average salary of $49 million, with the salary cap rising even more over the next few years.

Hurts progression

(Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)

A 2020 second-round pick, Hurts signed a 4-year, $6,025,171 contract with the Philadelphia Eagles, including a $1,941,944 signing bonus, $2,825,815 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $1,506,293. In 2022, Hurts earned a base salary of $1,082,744 and a workout bonus of $75,000 while carrying a cap hit of $1,643,230 and a dead cap value of $970,972.

Over his first two seasons, Hurts had a 59% completion percentage with 4,063 yards passing, 21 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and 1,056 rushing yards.

In year three, he exploded for 3,701 yards passing, 22 touchdowns, six interceptions, and a 66.7 QBR. He added 760 yards on the ground and 13 rushing touchdowns as well.

Hurts, Josh Allen, and Kyler Murray shares similar numbers over their first two years, with the Cardinals star being the more efficient passer.

Now only Allen and Patrick Mahomes can viewed as better players at the position currently, with Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow in that elite circle as well.

How Derek Carr's 3-year, $121.5 million extension impacted Hurts

Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Before being benched and sent away by the Raiders, Carr had previously signed a three-year, $121.5 million extension.

In 2021, Carr had a career-best 4,804 passing yards and had 23 touchdowns, along with a career-worst 14 interceptions and 40 sacks, the second-highest total of his eight-year career.

Las Vegas went 10-7 and made the playoffs for the second time since 2002.

Carr was the Raiders’ second-round draft pick in 2014, out of Fresno State, and has logged 31,700 passing yards, 193 TD passes (193), and 57 wins along that time.

During Hurts’ rookie season, Carr had 4,103 yards passing, 27 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions.

If Carr’s $40 million per season ave over the three years of the extension, and the $19 million in 2022 were a barometer for Hurts, then the Pro Bowl and playoff appearance should be enough to warrant going as high as 6th on the list (Kirk Cousins) for average per seasons.

Projecting a Hurts deal

Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

He’s improved every season and the 2022 campaign will be his first with the same offensive play-caller since his days at Channelview High School.

Using the franchise tag on Hurts after the 2023 season could cost the Eagles upwards of $31 million according to Over The Cap while a fair value extension would be less taxing on the salary cap.

Thirteen current NFL quarterbacks are signed to deals worth more than $100 million, and guys like Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and Tua Tagovailoa will all have some say in resetting the market as well.

Only the Packers’ Jordan Love has played less than Hurts in the 2020 class, but the Eagles star could get paid first because he was a second-round pick.

With the NFL quarterback tier no longer having a middle class, Philadelphia will either extend Hurts, allow him to walk as an already improved product, or face one-year franchise-style deals that Kirk Cousins has now made famous.

Burrow and Herbert are going to reset the market, so if the Eagles decide they believe in Hurts they’ll need to strike first and efficiently.

Hurts will still only be 24 years old come 2023, and a five-year, $200 million deal would put the talented quarterback at $40 million per season, ahead of names like Carson Wentz, Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford.

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