The Israel-Hamas war has had significant political consequences for President Biden and is now reverberating within the Democratic Party, particularly in the upcoming 2024 House Democratic primaries. The conflict has exacerbated divisions between the party's base and its progressive wing, creating an opportunity for moderate challengers to take on high-profile progressive incumbents who have been vocal in their criticisms of Israel.
Notable progressive incumbents expected to be impacted by this dynamic are Cori Bush, Jamal Bowman, and the members of the so-called 'squad' - Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar. The Israel lobby has been actively recruiting candidates to challenge these incumbents and is projected to allocate three times the amount of money spent in the 2022 cycle, totaling around $90 million, towards the upcoming primaries.
