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Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj, Assistant professor, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

Pound recovers but remains at low levels – how to assess the long-term value of sterling

The value of the British pound has taken a battering in recent months. Yulia Grigoryeva / Shutterstock

The pound has recovered from a recent record dip after the chancellor’s mini-budget announcement. But it is still at low levels versus many other currencies.

The recent decline can be mostly attributed to the tax cuts announced during Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s recent mini-budget. The £45 billion package caused concern among investors by considerably increasing future government debt, although Kwarteng has since announced a U-turn on the £2 billion plans to abolish cuts for the highest earners. More generally, escalating inflation expectations from this increased fiscal expansion, coupled with ongoing rising energy costs, have had a negative impact on the UK economy and therefore the value of sterling.

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