The 2024 presidential race appears to be shaping up as a potential three-way contest, according to recent polls and discussions surrounding potential third-party candidates. A recent ABC News Ipsos poll found that 37% of voters would seriously consider voting for a third-party candidate if the choice was between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. This number increases to 51% among independent and moderate women.
In a three-way matchup, a Reuters poll indicates that Trump currently leads with 36% of the vote, followed by Biden at 30%, and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 8%. Other polls have shown Kennedy with even higher numbers, particularly in key battleground states where he garnered approximately a quarter of the vote.