The government’s latest U.S. population estimates portend significant shifts in congressional seats away from Democratic-leaning states by the end of the decade if current trends continue.
Several states, including California and New York, lost seats in Congress following the 2020 Census as part of the process known as reapportionment, which adjusts congressional representation every 10 years based on updated Census figures. The latest estimates, released by the Census Bureau last month, show that the shift would have been even bigger had the changes been based on 2021 population data.
Arizona, Florida, Idaho and Texas would have each gained an additional seat in the House of Representatives, according to the latest estimates, while California, Illinois, Minnesota and New York would each have lost a seat, according to the research conducted by Election Data Services, a political consulting firm that specializes in redistricting, and the analysis of census and political data.
