The latest polls from Quinnipiac University reveal a challenging landscape for Vice President Kamala Harris among likely voters in the crucial “Blue Wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The recent data indicates a narrowing of Harris' lead in Pennsylvania and a disappearance of her advantage in Michigan, while Wisconsin remains a closely contested race.
In Pennsylvania, the most recent poll shows Harris with a slight edge over Trump, leading 49% to 46%. This represents a decrease from her wider lead in September, where she was ahead 51% to 45%. Meanwhile, the Michigan poll does not show a clear frontrunner, with Trump at 50% and Harris at 47%, within a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. In September, Harris was leading with 50% compared to Trump's 45%. Wisconsin also presents a tight race, with Trump at 48% and Harris at 46%, within a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points, mirroring the September results.
Quinnipiac’s polls suggest a shift towards a more Republican-leaning pool of likely voters in Michigan and Wisconsin since September. These surveys are the first approved polling data in each state for October, indicating that Harris does not hold a clear advantage in any of these critical “Blue Wall” states according to Poll of Polls averages that include the new findings.
On average, in Michigan, Harris garners 48% support among likely voters, while Trump averages 47%. In Pennsylvania, Harris also averages 48% support compared to Trump's 47%. In Wisconsin, Harris maintains an average of 49% support, with Trump at 46% among likely voters.
