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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
World
Joan E Greve

Polls on US House and Senate races paint a worrying picture for Democrats

an illustration of red paper over Donald Trump's face
A Republican trifecta in Washington would give Donald Trump much more sweeping power to implement his legislative agenda. Illustration: Guardian Design

As many anxious US election watchers constantly refresh the forecast from 538 in the final days before polls close, their attention tends to focus on the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, but the polling website’s forecasts of the battle for House and the Senate paint an even more worrying picture for Democrats.

As of Saturday evening, 538 gives Trump a 50% chance of winning the presidential race, while Republicans have a comfortable 90% chance of regaining control of the Senate and a narrower 52% chance of maintaining their House majority.

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