The latest poll data on the impact of the recent verdict suggests that while there hasn't been a significant shift in the race, every small change could be crucial in such a closely contested election. According to the Ipsos poll, Joe Biden now leads among registered voters by two points, a marginal difference from the tie before the conviction. Digging into the crosstabs revealed a slight movement among independents favoring Biden, potentially influencing the race.
Another poll also indicated a slight shift towards Biden, emphasizing the importance of even minor changes in such a tight election. On the fundraising front, the Trump campaign reportedly raised a record-breaking $35 million post-verdict, showcasing the financial impact of legal controversies on fundraising efforts.
Despite Trump's claims of a biased trial, a majority of Americans believe that the New York court upheld the rule of law, with only a minority viewing it as politically motivated. This sentiment among the public contrasts with the strong support Trump received from Republicans, who remained loyal to him amidst the legal proceedings.
The fundraising success of the Trump campaign post-verdict highlights the enduring support he enjoys from his base, while the slight movement towards Biden among independents underscores the potential impact of legal controversies on voter perceptions. As the election draws closer, these subtle shifts could play a significant role in determining the outcome, despite both parties having substantial financial resources for the upcoming campaign season.