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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Anna Gromada

Poland’s birth rate is in freefall. The cause? A loneliness epidemic that state cash can’t solve

A couple out walking their baby in heavy snow in Warsaw, Poland, during January 2021.
A couple out walking their baby in heavy snow in Warsaw, Poland, during January 2021. Photograph: Xinhua/REX/Shutterstock

In 2015, I found myself advising Poland’s president on the nation’s demographic woes: the country’s fertility rate had stalled at 1.3 children per woman, among the lowest in Europe. I thought I understood the problem. Most Polish couples wanted to have two kids but settled for one. The culprits, I believed, were predictable: precarious jobs, not enough childcare, apartment prices out of reach. At 27, flush with the confidence that comes from being both right and young, I sparred with politicians and policymakers twice my age, usually men, who insisted that women like me would reproduce if only the state threw enough cash into the cradle.

We were all, it turned out, fighting the wrong battle. In the decade since then, unemployment in Poland has sunk to one of the lowest in the EU. Incomes have more than doubled. Nursery and childcare places are multiplying. The government now channels almost 8% of the national budget into cash transfers known as the “800 Plus” programme, so called because the state pays families 800 zlotys every month, per dependant child.

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