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USA Today Sports Media Group
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Matt Erickson

PFL Playoffs 3 predictions: Who will fight for $1 million at lightweight, welterweight?

The PFL’s run toward six $1 million playoff finals takes its final steps Wednesday with welterweights and lightweights in the semifinals in New York.

The 2023 PFL Playoffs 3 event takes place Wednesday at The Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York. The main card airs on ESPN and streams on ESPN+ following prelims on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Get playoff pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Magomed Magomedkerimov vs. Solomon Renfro

2023 PFL 6: Atlanta at the OTE Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, Friday, June 23, 2023. (Cooper Neill / PFL)

Records: Magomed Magomedkerimov (32-6), Solomon Renfro (11-3)
Division: Welterweight
Betting odds: Magomedkerimov -800, Renfro +550
Junkie pick results: Magomedkerimov 10, Renfro 0 (1 no pick)

Carlos Leal vs. Sadibou Sy

PFL 10: Championships at the Hulu Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York, Friday, Nov. 25, 2022. (Cooper Neill / PFL)

Records: Carlos Leal (19-4), Sadibou Sy (15-6-2)
Division: Welterweight
Betting odds: Sy -150, Leal +125
Junkie pick results: Sy 9, Leal 1 (1 no pick)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Bruno Miranda

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Bruno Miranda (PFL MMA)

Records: Olivier Aubin-Mercier (19-5), Bruno Miranda (16-3)
Division: Lightweight
Betting odds: Aubin-Mercier -450, Miranda +325
Junkie pick results: Aubin-Mercier 10, Miranda 0 (1 no pick)

Clay Collard vs. Shane Burgos

Shane Burgos vs. Clay Collard (PFL MMA)

Records: Clay Collard (23-10), Shane Burgos (16-4)
Division: Lightweight
Betting odds: Pick’em (even)
Junkie pick results: Burgos 6, Collard 4 (1 no pick)

Check out all the playoff picks below.

PFL Playoffs: Lightweight, welterweight semifinals

Collard
vs.
Burgos
Aubin-Mercier
vs.
Miranda
Leal
vs.
Sy
Magomedkerimov
vs.
Renfro
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
140-86

Burgos
(63%)

Aubin-Mercier
(89%)

Sy
(82%)

Magomedkerimov
(86%)
Nolan King
@mma_kings
142-84

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Leal

Magomedkerimov
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
140-86

Collard

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
139-87
2018, 2022 Champion

Collard

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Matt Erickson
@MattE
137-89

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
136-90
2014 Champion

Collard

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
136-90

Collard

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
134-92

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
132-94
2017 Champion

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
132-94

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
129-97

Burgos

Aubin-Mercier

Sy

Magomedkerimov
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
127-99

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for 2023 PFL Playoffs 3.

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