Nationally, Catholic voters have been a crucial swing constituency in recent presidential elections, particularly in the state of Pennsylvania where they are expected to make up at least a quarter of the electorate. The state has seen a shift in voting patterns, with Donald Trump winning by a narrow margin in 2016 and Joe Biden securing a victory in 2020.
Biden's Catholic faith and connection with working-class Catholics were highlighted as factors that resonated with some voters. In the upcoming election, Trump is once again leading the Republican ticket, with a Catholic, JD Vance, as his running mate.
The Democratic ticket, on the other hand, does not feature a Catholic candidate. Some voters, particularly in counties around Scranton, where Biden hails from, may have been swayed by the Catholic connection in the previous election.
Issues such as abortion play a significant role in shaping the voting decisions of Catholic voters. While some, like Nikki Bruni, prioritize anti-abortion stances and support Trump, others, like members of Catholics Vote Common Good, advocate for a broader consideration of social justice issues in line with Catholic teachings.
Pennsylvania's Catholic population, predominantly white and non-Hispanic, has been a focal point for both campaigns. In 2020, Pennsylvania Catholics favored Trump over Biden, reflecting a trend that differs from the national Catholic vote.
The upcoming election has spurred various efforts to engage Catholic voters, with groups organizing rallies and outreach activities. Concerns over issues such as abortion, immigration, and foreign policy have been raised by supporters of both candidates.
U.S. Catholic bishops have emphasized the importance of opposing abortion while also highlighting other critical issues such as religious freedom, healthcare, and education. The diversity of concerns among Catholic voters underscores the complexity of their decision-making process.
As the election approaches, the influence of Catholic voters in Pennsylvania and other swing states remains a key factor in determining the outcome. Both campaigns are actively seeking to appeal to this demographic, recognizing the significance of their votes in shaping the future direction of the country.