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Evening Standard
Evening Standard
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Sarah Baxter

OPINION - Relax, Democrats, Kamala Harris is going to win — I think

The Democrats are in a funk. A YouGov/Yahoo News poll has determined that the US presidential race is tied with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump on 47 per cent each among likely voters. Quick, pass the smelling salts! With four weeks to go until the November 5th election, the Democrats are panicking over the outcome, while the Republicans appear serene. Trump supporters are addicted to disinformation and keep pretending their guy can’t lose unless the other side cheats. But all their bellyaching about election-rigging and their attempts to lay the groundwork for challenging the results suggest they know Trump’s going down.

Relax, Democrats, Harris is going to win. Am I sure? No. Trump could close strong. This is a very tight election, but there has been no meaningful improvement in Trump’s fortunes since Harris flummoxed him by replacing Joe Biden. What is more, Trump is behaving like a loser. He would rather cut off his right hand than reach out to moderate voters and rein in the swagger. “Trump being Trump” necessarily involves plenty of lies and fiery rhetoric. People love him for it. But like a magnet, he repels as many voters as he attracts. That is why he is stuck.

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