Oil prices reached their highest levels overnight since the Iran war began, with Brent crude topping $126 per barrel before pulling back on Thursday morning.
Why it matters: The jump will keep sending U.S. gasoline prices higher — and shows the market reacting to the possibility of a long stalemate that keeps the Strait of Hormuz throttled.
- Traders are also likely weighing potential military escalation.
- President Trump is slated to receive a briefing later today on new plans for potential military action in Iran, Axios' Barak Ravid reports.
The latest: The price of Brent crude dropped back to about $114 a barrel as of 8 a.m. Eastern. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, was at about $104 a barrel.
Zoom in: The average gasoline price was at $4.30 a gallon on Thursday morning, a jump of more than 7 cents from Wednesday and more than a dollar above the $3.18 average of a year ago, per AAA.
What they're saying: "The oil market has moved from over-optimism to the reality of the supply disruption we are seeing in the Persian Gulf," ING analysts Warren Patter and Ewa Manthey said in a note.
- The breakdown of U.S.-Iran talks and President Trump rejecting Iran's latest offer on Hormuz "has the market losing hope for any quick resumption in oil flows," they write.
The intrigue: Beyond the wide-angle reality — an historic disruption with no end in sight — today's expiration of the June Brent futures contract could be adding volatility.
What we're watching: The Wall Street Journal reported last night that U.S. officials are making fresh efforts to form an international coalition to enable navigation.
