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The Conversation
The Conversation
Politics
Christopher A. Cooper, Professor of Political Science & Public Affairs, Western Carolina University

North Carolina is not really a red or blue state − and that makes political predictions much more difficult

Donald Trump Mark Robinson North Carolina Kamala Harris Joe Biden CNN Josh Stein NC Republican Party United States
Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson shares the stage with former U.S. President Donald Trump during a 2022 rally in Selma, N.C. Allison Joyce/Getty Images

For all its prominence as a key battleground state, North Carolina hasn’t done much swinging in U.S. presidential elections.

The last time a majority of North Carolinians voted for a Democratic candidate was 2008 for Barack Obama. The time before that was 1976 for Jimmy Carter. In the past 12 presidential elections, Republicans have won 10. Those Republicans include Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020.

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