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Daniel O'Leary, Professor of Accounting and Information Systems, University of Southern California

Nobel Prizes, election outcomes and sports championships – prediction markets try to foresee the future

Nobel Prize Swedish Academy Wikipedia YAHOO

Who will be next to cross this stage and accept a Nobel Prize? Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images News via Getty Images

Who will win Nobel Prizes in 2022? Wikipedia posits a handful of contenders for Physiology or Medicine, about 20 different possible winners for the Peace Prize and several dozen potential winners of the Literature Prize. But since the Swedish Academy never announces nominees in advance, there are few insights indicating who will win, or even if the eventual winner is on a given list.

Are there ways to predict the future winners?

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