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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Rafael Behr

Nigel Farage looks trapped and rattled – now the nationalist tide can be turned

Nigel Farage canvassing in Clacton, Essex, on 8 August 2026.
Nigel Farage canvassing in Clacton, Essex, on 8 August 2026. Photograph: Jacqueline Lawrie/LNP

Nigel Farage can be confident of victory against a man posing as an ennobled space traveller with a dustbin on his head. At least, in Clacton he can.

The refusal of major parties to contest this week’s byelection sets the bar low. But even if the competition were more serious than Count Binface, the Reform UK leader would be the favourite to win on his chosen turf. He picked the constituency as his safest shot for a parliamentary seat in the 2024 general election for a reason. Now he is betting that the stench of scandal around his personal and party finances, pungent in Westminster, won’t sicken his fans on the Essex coast.

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