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Belfast Live
Belfast Live
National
Brendan Hughes

NI election analysis: Voters sent MLAs one clear message.. now make Stormont work

Looking at Northern Ireland through the lens of the London press, you would think the Stormont election was all about a united Ireland and the IRA.

Papers and broadcast media focused on the prospect of a border poll over Sinn Féin becoming the largest party in the Assembly.

When the republican party reached that historic milestone, the BBC News channel flashed up a congratulatory tweet from SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon.

Read more: Stormont parties spend big on social media adverts in election campaign

Broadcaster Piers Morgan tweeted : "We're witnessing the impending and I think now inevitable collapse of the United Kingdom."

An Irish unity referendum was in no way the conclusion of this Assembly election.

While Sinn Féin achieved its best ever result with an expertly pitched campaign, it had to downplay its ambitions for a united Ireland to do so.

A recent opinion poll suggested just 30% of people would vote for a united Ireland tomorrow, and only 33.4% in 15-20 years' time.

On the numbers newly elected, unionism is still the largest designation in the Assembly with 37 MLAs compared to 35 for nationalism.

With the growth of the unaligned Alliance Party, it is a drop on the 39 MLAs elected in the last Assembly election in 2017 who designated as nationalist.

The calling of a border poll remains at the discretion of the Secretary of State. Northern Ireland's future either within the UK or as part of a united Ireland remains an open debate for another time.

But looking closely at the make-up of the new Assembly, it is clear what people did vote for.

A significant majority of 63 MLAs want Stormont's power-sharing Executive to be restored now, compared to 27 against in protest over Brexit's Northern Ireland Protocol.

A majority of 54 are supportive of continuing with the Irish Sea trading arrangements while ironing out any issues, compared to 36 who want the Protocol scrapped.

Voters sent the political parties a clear message - get back to Stormont, and make it work.

But with the DUP refusing to re-enter devolved government until changes are made to the Protocol, a fully functioning Executive cannot be formed.

Ministers remain in post in a limited caretaker capacity for now. But they cannot allocate £300million of unspent funds, nor can they set a multi-year budget for the struggling health service.

As the class of 2022 gather on Monday at Parliament Buildings, there are many questions over what happens next.

Will a new Executive be re-formed, or will the "Alliance surge" build pressure for reform?

Will DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson step down as Lagan Valley MP following his election to Stormont, or will he stay at Westminster and co-opt someone else to the MLA role, delaying a by-election?

SDLP deputy leader Nichola Mallon can no longer be Infrastructure Minister after losing her North Belfast seat in a bruising election for the party.

The SDLP can re-nominate to the ministerial role, but it is unclear whether it will - or what happens if it doesn't.

Northern Ireland Secretary Brandon Lewis is to meet party leaders on Monday to press for the return of devolved government, but in all likelihood Stormont is set for many months in limbo.

And the longer this gap after the election grows, the more difficult it becomes to stitch Stormont power-sharing back together.

Read more: Stormont parties spend big on social media adverts in election campaign

Read more: Piers Morgan says Arlene Foster 'sounds like Donald Trump'

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