By now, you should have a good feel for most teams. A month in, and there are 13 2-2 teams, including the entire AFC South. Parity!
It's been the year of the backup quarterback, as they are 11-6 (11-2 if you don't count the Jets and Dolphins). Underdogs and road teams are off to hot starts, too. Underdogs went 10-5 against the spread last week and are 39-24. Road teams won a whopping 11 matchups to improve to 35-28. There are three double-digit spreads this week but a lot are right around a field goal so expect plenty of close finishes.
My most confident picks ATS are the 49ers, Chiefs, Cowboys, Bears and Patriots. Two tricky games to avoid: Jaguars-Panthers and Bucs-Saints.
