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Joe Manniello

NFL Week 14 picks: Pats a lock to beat Chiefs, 49ers top Saints; Jets, Giants don't cover

With the regular season nearing the finish line, this is the time to start backing teams with something to play for and going against those whose playoff races are all but over. It's not just contenders: Teams such as the Bucs, Falcons and Broncos are just a few who are out of the running but have players and coaches who need a strong finish.

Underdogs went 9-6-1 against the spread in Week 13 to improve to 107-81-4 for the season.

My most confident picks ATS are the Patriots, Titans, Bengals, Steelers, Bucs and Falcons. Avoid Chargers-Jaguars, which is the definition of a "stay-away game."

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