The NFL has a strength of schedule formula that's very simple to understand ... take the opponents' records from the previous season, add up the wins and losses and calculate a percentage for all 17 opponents. In the world of fantasy football, we use a similar method. Instead of using team records, we use the number of fantasy points allowed (FPA) by defenses the previous season against a single position (both at home and on the road) and rank the teams/players according to the average.
For example, the Philadelphia Eagles allowed an average of 17 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks overall last season. However, their defense was tougher on the road (13.0 PPG allowed) than at home (21.5 PPG allowed). Therefore, a road field general who faces the Eagles receives 21.5 points. On the flip side, a home quarterback who faces Philadelphia receives 13 points. This goes one step deeper than typical FPA analysis, which is based on a total average of the home and road numbers. The bigger the overall point total per team, the easier the projected schedule for 2022.
