NFC playoff picture for Commanders through Week 15

After 15 weeks of the 2024 season, what does the NFC playoff picture look like for the Commanders?

• Three playoff births have been clinched thus far (Lions, Eagles, Vikings).
• The Bucs (NFC South) and Rams (NFC West) lead their divisions. The Bucs lead the Falcons by a game, and the Rams have a tiebreaker over the Seahawks.
• The Packers actually have a 99% probability they will make the playoffs, as they are 10-4 in a good position. At the same time, the Commanders are a game back at 9-5 sitting alone in the seventh seed position.

So, the NFC division leaders and current top-four seeds, along with Wild Card seeds, are as follows:

1. Lions (12-2) Clinched playoff spot
2. Eagles (12-2) Clinched playoff spot
3. Bucs (8-6) Lead NFC South by one game
4. Rams (8-6) Lead NFC West via Tiebreaker
5. Vikings (12-2) Clinched playoff spot
6. Packers (10-4)
7. Commanders (9-5)

The following teams are still mathematically alive for the playoffs:

• Seahawks 8-6
• Falcons 7-7
• Cardinals 7-7
• 49ers 6-8
• Cowboys 6-8
• Saints 5-9