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Fortune
Fortune
Eleanor Pringle

National debt is already killing the American Dream, says top economist—and it might push the U.S. into an outright depression

U.S. President Donald Trump walks on the South Lawn after landing at the White House on January 4, 2026, in Washington, D.C. (Credit: Alex Wong—Getty Images)

The government’s $38.5 trillion national debt is suffocating the American Dream, a leading economist has warned, and if a highly debated debt crisis comes to fruition the country could be facing an all-out economic depression.

Many factors have been blamed for the death of the American Dream. Most recently, it has been housing stock, with President Trump moving to bar large Wall Street investors from buying up single-family homes. Elsewhere, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon agrees that housing is a barrier but so is education, saying opportunities need to be more accessible to young people across the country.

Meanwhile, the rising cost of retirement, raising children, and owning a car has led many to believe they can only achieve the lofty heights of the American Dream if they have $5 million in the bank.

However, many of these symptoms trickle back to the vast sum America owes to its debtors, according to Kurt Couchman, a senior fellow in fiscal policy at think tank Americans for Prosperity. In the final three months of 2025, the government spent $276 billion in interest on the debt, which the likes of Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio warn will one day squeeze out government investment needed to bolster economic prosperity.

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