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SportsCasting
SportsCasting
Jeff Hawkins

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Odds & Best Bets

Ryan Blaney wants to experience Deja vu. 

The NASCAR Cup Series pilot parlayed last year’s win during the Round of 8 finale at Martinsville Speedway into his first circuit championship. Can he do it all over again? 

He’s halfway there. 

Blaney’s dramatic comeback victory during last Sunday’s Xfinity 500 qualified the Team Penske driver for next Sunday’s Championship 4 race at Phoenix Raceway. 

Blaney’s victory, in a must-win situation, developed one race after failing to clinch the Homestead-Miami Speedway event a week earlier when Tyler Reddick passed the No. 12 Ford on the final lap. 

Down but not out, Blaney rode in 10th place on a restart with 87 laps to go. Within 72 rotations, Blaney’s comeback – and a ticket to the final four – was complete. He held the lead for the final 15 drama-filled rotations. 

Afterward, a drained Blaney told NASCAR.com he had “nothing left.” 

He likely will be emotionally refueled by the time he enters the desert.

Just like last year.

Below, we’ll preview the top storylines heading into Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race, go over the odds, and give our best bets for the final race on the 2024 NASCAR schedule.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Storylines

  • The 2012 Cup titleholder, Brad Keselowski has long been a critic of the playoff system. His voice grew louder after leading 170 laps last Sunday at Martinsville and placing P9. It was just his second top-10 finish during the postseason.
  • Team Penske has two drivers (Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano) qualified for the Championship 4 event. Its third pilot, Austin Cindric, continues seeking consistency. His P4 last Sunday was his best finish in his past 13 outings.
  • Fans were forced to wait nearly 30 minutes following Sunday’s Round of 8 finale as NASCAR officials debated on Christopher Bell’s final four fate. Finally, the ruling was announced that Bell’s homage to Ross Chastain’s “Hail Melon” cost him a chance to advance. Will the 29-year-old grow from the setback?

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Driver Odds  

Here is an early look at the drivers’ odds for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway, according to BetOnline Sportsbook:  

Driver NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Odds
Ryan Blaney +350
William Byron +400
Christopher Bell +500
Joey Logano +700
Tyler Reddick +775
Kyle Larson +900
Denny Hamlin +1200
Chase Elliott +1400
Ross Chastain +1600
Martin Truex Jr.  +2200
 Ty Gibbs  +2800
Chase Briscoe +3300
Kyle Busch +4000
Brad Keselowski  +4000
Chris Buescher  +4000
Alex Bowman +5000
Bubba Wallace +5000
 Austin Cindric +6600
 Josh Berry +6600
Daniel Suarez +10000
  Austin Dillon +10000
Carson Hocevar +12500
    Michael McDowell +12500
    Ryan Preece +12500
Noah Gragson +15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +25000
Zane Smith +30000
  Erik Jones +30000
Todd Gilliland +30000
Corey LaJoie +30000
Harrison Burton +50000
Jimmie Johnson +50000
Daniel Hemric +100000
Kaz Grala +100000
JJ Yeley  +100000
Derek Kraus +100000
   

*Odds current at time of publication

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Predictions and Picks  

Here are our best NASCAR Cup Series bets for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway:

Ryan Blaney (+350) 

The defending Cup champion and race favorite thrives in the desert. In his past seven starts at the 1-mile oval, Blaney recorded six top-fives and a circuit-best 322 laps led.

William Byron (+400) 

After receiving a second chance to advance to the final four race, Byron returns to Phoenix, a track where he visited Victory Lane last November and earned four top 10s since the start of the 2021 season. With a circuit-best 4.7 average start, Byron’s qualifying prowess could place near the pole.

Tyler Reddick (+775) 

Can Reddick give co-owner Michael Jordan another championship?

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