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Space
Space
Science
Robert Lea

NASA massively lowers impact risk of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 to 1 in 360

An illutsration shows asteroid 2024 YR4 narrowly missing Earth and the moon.

If you've been worrying about reports of a possible asteroid impact in 2032, we have very good news. NASA has dropped the probability of an impact from asteroid 2024 YR4 — at first to 1 in 67, and now to 1 in 360.

NASA announced the first reduced impact risk on its X feed at around 5:00 p.m. EST (2200 GMT) on Wednesday (Feb. 19), and the second a day after on Thursday (Feb. 20). The updated assessments were based on new orbital data for the asteroid, which is estimated to be around 180 feet (55 meters) wide, collected overnight between Feb. 18 and Feb. 20.

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