Prime Minister Rishi Sunak gave the strongest indication yet that he intends to call the next election for around October 2024 when he released a promotional video asking “What can a country achieve in 52 weeks?” to mark his anniversary of coming to power.
My mathematical model suggests that the time before that election would not be well spent shifting his party further to the right, despite recent signs that this is his intention.
The model also shows that his rival Keir Starmer should avoid shifting to the left if he wants to win.
