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Fortune
Fortune
Alena Botros

Moody’s Mark Zandi says get used to mortgage rates at around 6% for the long term

(Credit: Al Drago—Bloomberg/Getty Images)

Anyone eyeing mortgage rates, which reached above 8% in October, can be excused for longing for the pandemic lows of sub-3% mortgages. But it’s unlikely those rock-bottom rates will return anytime soon, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. Instead, the veteran market watcher expects rates to hover at roughly double that level in the near future. 

“Everybody should get used to 5.50% to 6%, because that’s where mortgage rates are going to settle in, [in the] long run,” Zandi told CNBC on Monday. Mortgage rates tend to trail the 10-year Treasury yield, which he suspects will hover around 4% to 4.50%; that generally puts mortgage rates at that 5.5% to 6% he’s expecting. 

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