Afternoon summary
Updated
Here are two, apparently contradictory, takes on the conference season.
This is from an analysis by Beth Rigby, political editor at Sky News.
Labour sources tell me Sir Keir’s speech has had “unusual levels of cut-through”, helped by the glitter bombing and his reaction to it – which I’m told focus groups say showed he had “character” and was a leader who was “composed and calm”.
“The backdrop to all of this is a lack of trust in all politicians,” explained one Labour figure. “Delivery is hard in opposition but they are aware of how much Keir has changed the party in a short space of time and that gives an increasingly strong reason to believe.”
And this is from from James Johnson, a pollster who used to work in No 10 for Theresa May.
New @timesradio focus group of undecided voters:
- All dislike ‘weak’ Keir Starmer and prefer Sunak to him
- All think Sunak had the better conference season
- But… every single one of them said they would now vote Labour if pushed
Why? ‘It’s time for change’.
Focus group on…
New @timesradio focus group of undecided voters:
— James Johnson (@jamesjohnson252) October 12, 2023
- All dislike ‘weak’ Keir Starmer and prefer Sunak to him
- All think Sunak had the better conference season
- But... every single one of them said they would now vote Labour if pushed
Why? 'It’s time for change'.
Focus group on…
This might seem strange until you remember that undecided voters are largely people who voted Conservative in 2019. There are relatively few Labour voters from four years ago who are still unsure how to vote this time.
Updated